Monday, February 15, 2010

Is 30 the new 40?


On average an NFL players career is about 3 season. Imagine being a premiere running back in that league for 8 years to a decade none the less. Where 300 lbs defensive lineman who can run sub 4.6 40 yard-dashes and bench press 400 lbs consistently, teeing off for 20 to 25 times every Sunday. There is not enough icy hot, cold tubs and treatment in the world to be able to withstand that sort of punishment week in and week out. A thousand yards rushing for a season usually constitutes as a pretty successful season for a running back. For a premiere back 1200 yards usually is the 'X' that marks the spot for a successful season. But once he hits "30" years old anything more than thousand is money in the bank for Hall of Fame voters to mull over once it comes time to get into the hall of fame, IF he is lucky enough to even be considered for that honor. Over the past decade their has been a few premiere backs and possible future Hall of Famers to hit that proverbial bold brick ''30'' wall.


  • Shaun Alexander rushed for 1435 yards and 14 TD's in 2004, in 2005 the year Seattle went to the super bowl he had his best season of his career and arguably one of best season ever for a running back with 1880 yards rushing 28 total TD's a 5.1 average in a super bowl run....the very next season he had 896 rushing yards and 7 TD's, over half of his production depleted and eroded skills in a matter of 7 months.


  • Edgerrin James turned 30 in 2008 he rushed for 514 yards and had 4 TD's with a 3.9 average per attempt...in 2005 he rushed for 1506 yards with 13 TD's, in 2006 he had 1159 yards rushing and 6 TD's and in 2007 he had 1222 yards and 7 TD's, many may say it was the system he played under in Arizona but let's not forget he produced like a hall of famer in Indy.



  • LaDainian Tomlinson has had 7 straight season over 1000 yards averaging 1466 per season with 141 total TD's with a touchdown average of 17.75...in 2009 when LT hit the 30 year mark he had only 730 yards and 12 TD's. I think its safe say he isn't setting any D coordinators hair on fire when trying to game plan to stop him anymore.

When I was a kid, I would always ask my dad how old he was? And he would tell me his age and I would say "man, dad your getting old" and he would reply '' No I'm not getting old, I'm getting better". That saying might be the case for the average being, but in the world of an NFL running back, getting better after 30 is rare to nearly impossible. When I look at the numbers/production of these running backs in the NFL, their is one common number that they all share "30"...Age is one defender these guys can not juke or truck over in the open field...AP, Chris Johnson and Mo Jo D time is tickin'....tick tock, tick tock.





1 comment:

  1. Another solid post, out of curiousity have there been any recent RB's who "broke the mold?"

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